CLEVELAND BROWNS: Drafting Two QBs in the First Round?

Could the Browns take a quarterback with the first pick and the fourth pick? Yes. Will they? No.

As we get closer to the draft, smokescreens become more pronounced and speculation veers into ridiculousness. The Browns are a young team looking to add as much talent as possible – the opportunity cost of passing on a player from a different position with either of the Top 5 picks that the Browns hold is far too high to justify selecting two QBs.

Granted, there is the argument that Cleveland could take one of the quarterbacks and trade that player away. This is a fundamental misunderstanding of how trade value works. With the picks Cleveland possesses, it can leverage the interest of teams in any of the four quarterbacks. There are a few teams that think Josh Allen is the best quarterback, a few teams that think Sam Darnold is the man to get, and so on.

A draft pick is an open book – a team can take whichever quarterback it values highest. Once a player is actually taken, the market tightens substantially, because the only teams competing for the player are those that value the player highly. It is a much smaller universe, especially in this class where there is no clear-cut top quarterback. Additionally, if I am understanding the salary cap correctly, Cleveland would still be on the hook for the rookie quarterback’s signing bonus even if it made a trade.

The Browns have an opportunity to grab a quarterback and another 10-year starter at any number of positions, including EDGE, guard, and running back (depending how the chips fall). The best course of action would be to take the best quarterback available at No. 1, then trade down into the later first round for some other top players. If Cleveland swaps No. 4 with Buffalo for No. 12 and 23 (among several other picks), it is entirely feasible that the Browns could come away from the first round with QB Sam Darnold, CB Denzel Ward, and a tackle of their choice (Kolton Miller and Mike McGlinchey come to mind).

That is the best course of action – not drafting two quarterbacks. Don’t believe everything you read.

Advertisements

ANALYSIS: New England Patriots trade Brandin Cooks to Los Angeles Rams for a First Round Pick

The Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots have just agreed to a trade in which New England receives Los Angeles’ first round pick (No. 23) and sixth round pick for wide receiver Brandin Cooks and its fourth round selection.

Continue reading “ANALYSIS: New England Patriots trade Brandin Cooks to Los Angeles Rams for a First Round Pick”

2018 NFL Free Agent Tracker: Top Free Agents

This year’s free agent class features a number of high-profile players up for free agency, sorted by position. In this post, we are keeping track of the top free agents at each position, and analyzing the highest profile signings as they happen. Keep it locked here for analysis on how free agent signings will affect the 2018 NFL Draft, and the rest of the league’s landscape.

Continue reading “2018 NFL Free Agent Tracker: Top Free Agents”

NFL NewsWire: 3/6 – 3/10/18

Bills sign RB Chris Ivory to a 2 year, $5.5 million deal (via Ian Rapoport)

$3.25 million of the deal is guaranteed. After breaking out two years ago as the workhorse for the Jets, and being named to a Pro Bowl, Ivory spent the last two seasons with Jacksonville. Last season he was solid insurance behind starter Leonard Fournette, and should fill a similar role in Buffalo next season behind LeSean McCoy. He is an upgrade on Buffalo’s back-ups from last season.

Continue reading “NFL NewsWire: 3/6 – 3/10/18”

2018 NFL Scouting Combine: Day Four Notes

Screenshot (155)

DAY FOUR of the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine is in the books, and we wrapped up the workouts with an exciting look at tomorrow’s top defensive backs. From the cornerbacks to the safeties, we learned a lot about those who will be making quarterbacks and receivers miserable for years to come. Throughout the day, we catalogued our thoughts on some of the prospects, and we have written them down here. Below, check out our notes on March 5, the fourth day of the 2018 Scouting Combine.

Continue reading “2018 NFL Scouting Combine: Day Four Notes”

NFL NewsWire: Combine Week

Dolphins grant WR Jarvis Landry permission to seek and facilitate a trade (via Adam Schefter)

This, along with the fact that Landry signed his tag on Sunday, will make it much easier for the Dolphins to eventually trade him. Now Landry will have the ability to go around to all the teams vying for his services, and negotiate an extension. If he can agree to terms of a contract with one of those teams, Miami can step in and work out a trade with that team. The Bears and Ravens are among the 5 or so teams interested in trading for Landry.

Continue reading “NFL NewsWire: Combine Week”

2018 NFL Scouting Combine: Day Three Notes

Screenshot (154)

DAY THREE of the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine is in the books, and with it came a great deal of information on the 2018 NFL Draft’s up-front defenders. From the defensive linemen to the linebackers, we learned a lot about future NFL front-seven players. Throughout the day, we catalogued our thoughts on some of the prospects, and we have written them down here. Below, check out our notes on March 4, the third day of the 2018 Scouting Combine.

Continue reading “2018 NFL Scouting Combine: Day Three Notes”