2018 NFL Mock Draft 3.0 (Three Round Collaboration): Picks 1-16

MARCH 24, 2018–Since we published our 2018 NFL Draft Mock Draft 2.0, free agency and trades have made a real difference in the 2018 NFL Draft landscape.

As opposed to Mock Draft 2.0, which went two rounds, Mock Draft 3.0 goes three rounds deep. This mock was a collaboration between Nachmany Football’s Eli Nachmany, Albert Nachmany, and Andrew Pavlou.

This mock is a mix of what we think teams should do and what we believe they will do. As an example, we have a third-round grade on Josh Rosen, but conventional wisdom dictates he will get drafted early in the first round; as such, he makes it into the first round, but does slide down the board.

Mock Draft Navigator
Mock Draft 1.0
Mock Draft 2.0
Mock Draft 3.0, Picks 1-16
Mock Draft 3.0, Picks 17-32
Mock Draft 3.0, Round Two
Mock Draft 3.0, Round Three

Take a look at our 400+ player Big Board to see where your favorite draftee is ranked, and what we are working from in formulating these mock drafts.

Let us know what you think on Twitter @NachFootball, and be sure to follow us on there for more draft content and analysis!

1. Cleveland Browns: QB Sam Darnold, Southern California (#10 on Big Board)

With the first pick, the Browns waste no time getting their man. Darnold is a stocky quarterback who has just the right combination of personality and football talent to lead a culture change in Cleveland. At Southern California, this signal caller was a bit prone to interceptions, but he will have time to sit behind Tyrod Taylor (a QB who almost never turns the ball over) and learn for a year or two before seeing the field. -Eli Nachmany

2. New York Giants: RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State (#2 on Big Board)

New Giants general manager Dave Gettleman has said that he wants to take the best player available, and during the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine, Saquon Barkley proved that he was a man among boys. People are shying away from mocking Saquon to the Giants because of Jonathan Stewart’s signing, but the Giants have not had an All-Pro-caliber running back since Tiki Barber, and if Barkley is still available at No. 2, do not put it past the G-Men to pull the trigger. The Giants have many other needs, like offensive line, but pick No. 2 is too high to address that. If the Giants are not in love with Saquon and can ride with Stewart, look for them to trade back on draft day with someone who needs a quarterback. -Albert Nachmany

3. New York Jets (via Indianapolis Colts): QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma (#13 on Big Board)

The Jets traded up from No. 6 to No. 3 for one reason and one reason only: They are extremely high on 2 or 3 of the QBs in this draft class. In New York, Mayfield is an excellent fit. The Heisman Trophy winner from last season has been the most accurate passer in the nation the past two seasons, and won’t have a hard time getting used to spinning it in the Meadowlands winds. Even if it takes him a little bit of time to adjust to the speed of the NFL game, the Jets have two adequate starters in Teddy Bridgewater and Josh McCown ready to hold the fort down at a moment’s notice. -Andrew Pavlou

4. Cleveland Browns (via Houston Texans): EDGE Bradley Chubb, North Carolina State (#1 on Big Board)

At this point, with a potential franchise quarterback already in tow and a number of other needs already filled through free agency and trades, the Browns take the draft’s best player. Bradley Chubb is athletic, lightning quick, and strong – he will team with Myles Garrett to give Cleveland the best pass rush in the AFC North at least. It is possible that in three or four years, this duo puts itself among the legendary tag teams in NFL history; they’re that good. Minkah Fitzpatrick was a consideration here, but the Damarious Randall trade casts some doubt on where he would even play if drafted. -Eli

5. Denver Broncos: QB Josh Allen, Wyoming (#18 on Big Board)

The Broncos signed Case Keenum after a wonderful run that saw his Vikings make the NFC Championship. Keenum, however, is 30 years old and will not be the man of the future for the Broncos who have not had an elite quarterback since winning the Peyton Manning sweepstakes. Look for them to take a developmental quarterback in Josh Allen and coach him up over the next few years. Allen, who is 21 years old, has all of the physical traits and arm talent, but he had accuracy issues at Wyoming. Allen is still very raw and could use a few years behind Keenum to get acclimated to playing the position in the NFL. -Albert

6. Indianapolis Colts (via New York Jets): OG Quenton Nelson, Notre Dame (#3 on Big Board)

While this doesn’t necessarily fill a major need on a roster with holes all across the board, the full rebuild is underway in Indianapolis, and it makes the most sense for the Colts to go with arguably the best player in this year’s draft. Nelson is considered to be as sure a thing as it gets in this draft, with very low probability of busting. He is a dominant force on the interior O-Line, and could potentially be athletic enough to be worth a look at tackle. -Andrew

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James, Florida State (#4 on Big Board)

With Quenton Nelson off the board, the Buccaneers stay in state and draft one of the best overall prospects in this year’s class: Derwin James. The Seminole star has an injury history, but he also has a track record of flying to the football and destroying offensive gameplans. A true ballhawk, James is the rare kind of safety who is comfortable in both 1-high and 2-high sets. He is also a willing tackler, topping eight tackles in almost half of FSU’s games in 2017. -Eli

8. Chicago Bears: EDGE Marcus Davenport, UTSA (#30 on Big Board)

Marcus Davenport is shooting up draft boards, and with his size coupled with his athleticism, everyone is seeing why. The Bears filled their biggest need in free agency with getting Allen Robinson and now should look to strengthen their pass rush with the addition of Davenport. Some may say that the Bears should look to shore up their secondary with this pick, but I feel that adding another young defensive back is not what they need. If the Bears were going to bring in anyone to their extremely young secondary, it should be a veteran through free agency. -Albert

9. San Francisco 49ers: LB Roquan Smith, Georgia (#5 on Big Board)

After taking the most highly touted linebacker in last year’s draft and watching him shine on the field last season, the 49ers decide to double dip here and take this year’s most talented linebacker to continue their overhaul of the position. Reuben Foster was phenomenal in his first season and would make an excellent pairing with Smith. The issue will be getting Foster back on the field after multiple recent run-ins with the law. While Foster almost undoubtedly will serve his suspension to start next season, Smith will be at the second level picking up the slack with his elite athleticism and “plus” strength. -Andrew

10. Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia Tech (#12 on Big Board)

New Raiders head coach Jon Gruden has just signed a 10-year contract. In 10 years from now, Edmunds won’t even be 30 years old. Granted, in this age of constant coaching turnover (and given the mercurial nature of Raiders ownership), rarely does a head coach last 10 years, but a player like Edmunds could be a mainstay in the Bay Area for that amount of time. 6-foot-5 and only 19 years old, Edmunds is a rangy and fast linebacker who has drawn favorable comparisons to Anthony Barr. He probably does not end up falling out of the Top 10. -Eli

11. Miami Dolphins: S Minkah Fitzpatrick, Alabama (#6 on Big Board)

How does Minkah Fitzpatrick fall out of the top 10? People are frantically trading up to get quarterbacks and maybe the most polished defensive player in the draft falls to 11. Miami needs to strengthen their secondary and they will do this by adding Fitzpatrick. The superstar defensive back was a starter since his freshman year at Alabama, which tells a lot about him, given that Nick Saban is in charge of the defensive backs. Look for Minkah Fitzpatrick to come in on Day One and be an instant starter for a pedestrian Dolphins secondary. -Albert

12. Buffalo Bills (via Cincinnati Bengals): QB Josh Rosen, UCLA (#67 on Big Board)

There is no doubt in my mind the Buffalo is going to do everything they can to trade up into the top 5 or 6 picks and draft the QB they feel most comfortable with, but in this scenario, one of the highest-rated signal callers falls into their lap. Rosen is not without his flaws and weaknesses – he has notable durability concerns along with some shaky pre-snap reads – but his mechanics and accuracy more than make up for it. -Andrew

13. Washington Redskins: CB Josh Jackson, Iowa (#11 on Big Board)

At the Scouting Combine, Josh Jackson did everything he needed to do, to merit selection in the Top 15. He ran just under a 4.5 in the 40 yard dash and looked every bit the part of the draft’s No. 1 corner. After trading away cornerback Kendall Fuller and letting go of Bashaud Breeland, the Redskins need help on the back end. Jackson, who grew up driving distance from Cowboys Stadium, would be a welcome addition for a team that needs to slow down high-octane offenses like those of division rivals Dallas and Philadelphia. -Eli

14. Green Bay Packers: CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State (#29 on Big Board)

The Packers secondary needs a lot of help. Kevin King and the other younger Packers defensive backs looked a little exposed last year. Denzel Ward is going to come in and try to help solidify that secondary alongside the other young players who will be one year older. Look for Green Bay to try to push for the playoffs and beyond in 2018, now that Aaron Rodgers is fully healthy again. -Albert

15. Arizona Cardinals: QB Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State (#51 on Big Board)

Mason Rudolph is an interesting case in a draft class with at least 5 signal callers expected to go Day One, possibly even in the top 10 picks. In a weaker QB class he could be looked at as a first-round talent himself, but has sort of flown under the radar while guys like Allen, Mayfield, and Lamar Jackson eat up all the headlines. Rudolph is a big guy with a strong arm, and he stands tall and sturdy in the pocket – he could be the perfect QB to help rebuild the Cardinals. -Andrew

16. Baltimore Ravens: RB Derrius Guice, Louisiana State (#8 on Big Board)

With Guice falling out of the Top 15, the Ravens have a tremendous opportunity to further upgrade their offense this offseason after already adding Michael Crabtree. Since Ray Rice was let go for issues with domestic violence, the Ravens have struggled to find a long-term and viable solution at running back. Guice is one of the most talented rushers to come out of college in a while – it is possible that he was better than Fournette when both occupied the same backfield at LSU. Baltimore’s offense becomes lethal with this selection. -Eli

Continue Reading: Picks 17-32


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